Let’s dive into the Oscar-themed crystal ball and try to figure out who should be preparing their acceptance speeches for tonight.
Happy Oscars Day! Today, on February 24th 2019, the Academy Awards show will take place at the Dolby Theater in Los Angeles and on television screens worldwide. Every year I like to follow the preceding award shows, subtly dubbed “award season”, and to finally make predictions about who’s going to win which Oscar tonight. So on the day of all days, I’ll be sharing my predictions on some of the awards being distributed at the Dolby Theater tonight.
So before we continue with the predictions, a little disclaimer. Even though I throughly enjoy following awards season, watching the Oscars and trying to predict who’s going to win which award, I do wholeheartedly agree with Nick Cave’s statement on award shows and their competitive nature in his 1996 letter to MTV. I don’t think art, whether that’s film, literature or music, should be competitive and I don’t think it should be viewed or measure as such. That being said, I do enjoy the Hollywood glamour of big award shows such as the Academy Awards and from my love of film I do like to make these kind of predictions and to see if I guessed right or not. So this article is really there for my own enjoyment and because I love to share my thoughts on big happenings in the film industry. That being said, let’s dive into that Oscar-themed crystal ball, shall we?
Actor in a leading role
I think the Actor in a leading role-award is a pretty easy guess this year: Rami Malek for his portrayal of Freddy Mercury in Queen-biopic Bohemian Rhapsody. Malek has already won the Golden Globe, BAFTA, Screen Actors Guild award and many more for his role, so I think it’s a very safe bet to say he’ll win the Oscar tonight as well. Even though I didn’t really enjoy Bohemian Rhapsody as a whole, I think Malek’s performance is phenomenal and truly one of a kind, and I think the actor winning the Oscar tonight would be the absolute cherry on top.
Actor in a supporting role
The award for Actor in supporting role has a very similar story, as I think the winner is also pretty predictable this year. Mahersali Ali has already won the Golden Globe, BAFTA and SAG award for this performance in Green Book, so again I think it’s pretty safe to say that he’ll also win the Oscar tonight. I’m ashamed to admit that I haven’t seen Green Book just yet, so I can’t say anything about Ali’s performance itself, but if we take the familiar “previous wins”-route, Ali should be practicing his acceptance speech for tonight.
Actress in a leading role
Then the award for Actress in a leading role is a bit trickier, with five phenomenal leading ladies nominated. But I think when push comes to shove, the two top contenders here are Glenn Close for her beautifully subtle yet emotionally gripping performance in The Wife and Olivia Colman as Queen Anne in award-darling The Favourite. Colman has won the Golden Globe and BAFTA, wheras Close has also won a Golden Globe and the SAG award, so it will be a tight race but I think ultimately Colman will win because the Oscars do love portrayals of historical figures.
Actress in a supporting role
Overall I think The Favourite will be the big winner tonight (as the film is nominated for 10 Oscars), and I think the award for Actress in a supporting role will be no different. Both Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz are nominated for their phenomenal performances in The Favourite and so far they’ve both been nominated for the Golden Globe, BAFTA and SAG award, with only Weisz actually winning the BAFTA award. So if we’re following the award, Weisz would win the Oscar tonight, but Stone is a firm Oscar-favourite, so I wouldn’t give up on her just yet.
Animated feature film
For me there can only be one winner for the Animated feature film award, and that’s Wes Anderson’s Isle of Dogs. It’s a gamble, as the film hasn’t won any of the big awards this season, but this film is made with so much love and attention to detail that I think it deserves that coveted Oscar spotlight.
Again, this is a bit of a gamble, as Yorgos Lanthimos hasn’t won any of the big awards for his directing, but I think his work on The Favourite is simply amazing. It’s such a unique and completely idiosyncratic take on the classic costume drama genre and I think the director deserves to be awarded for that.
Music (Original song)
If there’s one win the world seems to be unanimously sure about, it’s the award for Music (Original Song). Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper are set to perform “Shallow” from A Star is Born and I think they’re also set to win the award for the song, as it has already won the Golden Globe and the BAFTA award.
Arguably the most important Academy Award (with strong emphasis on arguably here), is the Oscar for Best Picture and I think the top contenders here are Bohemian Rhapsody and The Favourite. The Queen-biopic wasn’t a big hit with the critics, but it was with the general public and during awards season, so I wouldn’t be surprised at all if it did win the award tonight. But if I had to pick one winner, I would still go for The Favourite, simply because it’s my absolute favourite (pun intended) of the two.
Best sound editing
Then finally we have a bit of random prediction, which is the award for Best sound editing. It’s not an Academy Award that holds a lot of prestige or creates a lot of buzz, but I remember I got so mad when Baby Driver didn’t win the award for Best sound editing, even though it was the greatest sound editing I have ever seen. The other example of best sound editing I’ve ever heard, is nominated for the award this year and therefor I feel very strongly that A Quiet Place should win the award tonight.
And that concludes all of my predictions for the Oscars 2019. In the Netherlands, you can watch the award show live on Net5 from 02:00 until 06:30 on Monday February 25th and from 18:30 to 23:20 you can watch the highlights also on Net5. I will be back with my thoughts on the Oscars tomorrow evening both here on Almost Famous Writer and on my Instagram stories to see how many (if any…) of my predictions were true and to talk all things Oscars.